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mike_honey_

@mike_honey_@aus.social

Data Visualisation and Data Integration specialist - Melbourne, Australia
tiktok.com/@mike_honey_
#covid19 #australia #fedi22

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18+ mike_honey_ , to AusCOVID19 group
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Australian COVID-19 monthly stats update.

A new pack of the stats that are updated monthly.

An encouraging uptick in the rate of vaccination deliveries, nudging the coverage up to ~6% of adult Australias with an XBB.1.5 vaccine does. I'm a bit puzzled as to why there would be an uptick?

Report link:
https://mike-honey.github.io/covid-19-au-vaccinations/output/covid-19-au%20-%20report%20Monthly.pdf

@auscovid19

mike_honey_ OP ,
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@RcjWaz @auscovid19 yes, probably. Ofc makes no sense as the big JN.1 wave was in Dec-Jan, but that’s people, I guess.
VIC Health department started pushing for double shots yesterday. Not how I would do it, but again, I am not “people”.

18+ mike_honey_ , to Random
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Here's the latest variant picture for the United Kingdom.

As of late February, BA.2.86.* "Pirola" (88%) was dominant - led by the JN.1 sub-variant.

The JN.1.7 sub-lineage (10%) has continued to grow steadily, seemingly confirming it as a viable challenger.


🧵

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mike_honey_ OP ,
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England (10%) leads the countries of the UK for JN.1.7, with Scotland on perhaps a more advanced trajectory.

JN.1.7 adds the Spike T572I and E1150D mutations onto JN.1.

mike_honey_ OP ,
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For the UK, JN.1.7 had a robust growth advantage of 5% per day (38% per week) over JN.1 since January. That predicts a crossover in a couple of week.

It's unclear whether JN.1.7 is re-infecting cases of JN.1, or finding new susceptibles.

18+ mike_honey_ , to Random
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Here's the latest variant picture for New Zealand.

As of mid-February, BA.2.86.* "Pirola" (81%) was dominant - led by the JN.1 sub-variant.

XDK (8%) has continued to grow steadily, seemingly confirming it as a viable challenger.


🧵

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mike_honey_ OP ,
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For NZ, XDK had a moderate growth advantage of 3% per day (19% per week) over BA.2.86.* since January.

At that pace it would take a few more months to challenge BA.2.86.*, assuming nothing else changes.

XDK is a recombinant of "Arcturus" XBB.1.16.11 (likely) and "Pirola" JN.1.1.1.

mike_honey_ OP ,
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Here are the leading countries reporting XDK, with NZ (8%) chasing France (15%).

18+ mike_honey_ , to Random
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The new JN.1.23 lineage of SARS-CoV-2 is attracting attention is showing signs of spread. It was first detected in samples collected in early January from Bahia, Brazil. It has since showed up in North America and Australia.

Here's an animated map showing the spread of the JN.1.23 lineage.

Locations are approximate - typically country and state/province.


🧵

video/mp4

mike_honey_ OP ,
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Here's a great thread for more info on JN.1.23, from https://twitter.com/LongDesertTrain who first spotted it:
https://twitter.com/LongDesertTrain/status/1754639862504772044

mike_honey_ OP ,
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Here's a chart of Immune Evasion vs ACE2 Binding scores from https://twitter.com/RajlabN. Note JN.1.23 appears at the extreme top-right, a distant outlier. Raj has been producing these charts for over a year: I can't recall ever seeing a new lineage so distant from it's competitors.
https://twitter.com/RajlabN/status/1760191767503151327?s=20

18+ mike_honey_ , to AusCOVID19 group
@mike_honey_@aus.social avatar 
The detailed daily PCR test & case data for Queensland has been updated, up to January 30.

PCR Cases (7-day running average) have been falling steadily since January 10.

As Test volumes have also been falling, % Positive is up slightly to around 16%.

#COVID19 #Australia #QLD #Brisbane @auscovid19@a.gup.pe   
🧵
mike_honey_ OP ,
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@auscovid19 ```markdown
% Positive was generally falling since late December, down to a trough around 14% on January 18. However it has since rebounded to around 16%.

mike_honey_ OP ,
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@auscovid19 ```markdown
Among the South East region LGAs, Somerset is the new outlier with extremely high cases per capita (466/M) combined with the highest % Positive (21%) for the latest week. This implies the rate of infections is far higher than the reported cases would indicate.

Last week's outlier was the Gold Coast. Case rates have fallen marginally there, but the % positive remains high so undiscovered infections abound.

18+ mike_honey_ , to AusCOVID19 group
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Australian COVID-19 stats update for the period ending 10 January 2024:

I've revived an old Vaccination progress infographic, looking at the doses since 11/12/2023. I assume they are all for the XBB.1.5 vaccines, and that no-one has received 2 doses since that date.

Up to January 10, just under 0.5M doses were given, so 2.4% of the Adult population (or 1.9% of the total population) had received an XBB.1.5 vaccination dose.

@auscovid19
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mike_honey_ OP ,
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@musubhai @auscovid19 I don’t see any direct connection between the two.

mike_honey_ OP ,
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@musubhai @auscovid19 there's almost no reporting of COVID case trends in Australian media now, so the vast majority of the population are clueless about the current wave (largest in a year).

There is a portion of "the public" who are aware of cases, keen to get the new vaccines (and eligible) who drove the sharp rise in vaccination rates in late 2023.

DenisCOVIDinfoguy , to Random
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🇦🇺Australia's weekly reported COVID numbers: 17 November 2023

Jurisdiction / Cases / Deaths

🔹SA: 2,496 / NR
🔹TAS: 1,044 / 7
🔹ACT: 582 / 0
🔹VIC: (No data) / 25

🔹WA: (No data)
🔹NSW: (No data)
🔹QLD: (No data)
🔹NT: (No data)

NR = Not Reported

#COVID19AUS

mike_honey_ ,
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@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the cases and hospitalisations per capita for SA, TAS and the ACT:

image/png

DenisCOVIDinfoguy , to AusCOVID19 group
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SA COVID weekly update: 8 November to 14 November

🔹PCR cases only: 2,496 (+3)
🔹Deaths: NR
🔹Total deaths: 1,624 (+0)
🔹Hospital: 109 (+76)
🔹ICU: 7 (+4)

NR = Not reported

@auscovid19

mike_honey_ ,
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@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for SA (log axis):

DenisCOVIDinfoguy , to AusCOVID19 group
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Tasmania COVID weekly update: 10 November to 16 November

🔹New cases: 1,044 (+146)
🔹Deaths: 7 (+5)
🔹Total deaths: 324 (+7)
🔹Hospital: 40 (+17)
🔹ICU: 2 (+1)

@auscovid19

Source: https://health.tas.gov.au/health-topics/coronavirus-covid-19/current-risk-level-and-statistics/weekly-statistics

mike_honey_ ,
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@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for Tasmania (log axis):

DenisCOVIDinfoguy , to AusCOVID19 group
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ACT COVID weekly update: 10 November to 16 November

🔹New cases: 582 (+10)
🔹Deaths: 0 (+0)
🔹Total deaths: 282 (+0)
🔹Hospital: 15 (-6)
🔹ICU: 0 (-1)
🔹Vent: 0 (+0)

@auscovid19

Source: https://covid19.act.gov.au/updates/act-covid-19-statistics

mike_honey_ ,
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@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for the ACT (log axis):

DenisCOVIDinfoguy , to AusCOVID19 group
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Tasmania COVID weekly update: 27 October to 2 November

🔹New cases: 737 (+268)
🔹Deaths: 0 (-1)
🔹Total deaths: 315 (+0)
🔹Hospital: 22 (+13)
🔹ICU: 3 (+1)

@auscovid19

Source: https://health.tas.gov.au/health-topics/coronavirus-covid-19/current-risk-level-and-statistics/weekly-statistics

mike_honey_ ,
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@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for Tasmania (log axis):

DenisCOVIDinfoguy , to AusCOVID19 group
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SA COVID weekly update: 25 October to 31 October

🔸Federal data

🔹PCR cases only: 1,691 (+622)
🔹Deaths: 4 (+4)
🔹Total deaths: 1,624 (+4)
🔹Hospital: 36 (-26)
🔹ICU: 4 (+2)

@auscovid19

Source: https://www.sahealth.sa.gov.au/wps/wcm/connect/Public+Content/SA+Health+Internet/Conditions/Infectious+diseases/COVID-19/COVID-19+dashboard

mike_honey_ ,
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@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for SA (log axis):

DenisCOVIDinfoguy , to AusCOVID19 group
@DenisCOVIDinfoguy@aus.social avatar

ACT COVID weekly update: 27 October to 2 November

🔹New cases: 482 (+112)
🔹Deaths: 1 (+0)
🔹Total deaths: 282 (+1)
🔹Hospital: 15 (-4)
🔹ICU: 1 (+0)
🔹Vent: 0 (+0)

Sadly, ACT Health has been notified of a COVID-related death during this reporting period; a woman in her 70s.

@auscovid19

Source: https://covid19.act.gov.au/updates/act-covid-19-statistics

mike_honey_ ,
@mike_honey_@aus.social avatar

@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for the ACT (log axis):

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